Austria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1930 |
AUT
0 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 2
AUT
58%
20%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 3
AUT
32%
23%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
SWE
0 - 3
POL
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
FIN
4 - 4
SWE
29%
21%
49%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
LVA
0 - 5
SWE
29%
22%
49%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
EST
1 - 5
SWE
31%
23%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |