Austria vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
96%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.1%
8-0
2.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.6%
7-0
4.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
5.2%
6-0
8.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
9.3%
5-0
12.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
14.4%
4-0
15.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
18.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
3.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
3.2%
0.6%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
SUI
2 - 4
AUT
41%
26%
32%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
1 - 4
AUT
1%
9%
89%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
CYP
0 - 3
AUT
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
AUT
1 - 1
ISR
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
48 | 97 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
4 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
1 - 4
AUT
1%
9%
89%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 5
ISR
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |