Austria vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AUT
0 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 3
AUT
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
BRD
4 - 1
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1966 |
IRL
0 - 4
BRD
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |