Austria vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
AUT
2 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
AUT
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 2
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1952 |
GER
3 - 0
IRL
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1951 |
IRL
3 - 2
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 3
IRL
59%
18%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
IRL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
19%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |