Austria vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
80%
11%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
AUT
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GER
0 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
21%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
AUT
1 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
POR
1 - 3
ARG
32%
23%
46%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
21%
41%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 0
POR
59%
18%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1951 |
ENG
5 - 2
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |