Austria vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 3
AUT
46%
21%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
CSK
0 - 0
AUT
51%
20%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
AUT
0 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1934 |
AUT
3 - 0
SUI
81%
12%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LVA
2 - 6
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1934 |
POL
2 - 5
GER
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1934 |
YUG
4 - 1
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |