Austria vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
AUT
4 - 3
ENG
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
AUT
0 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 1
AUT
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1979 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUT
40%
28%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 2
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1979 |
NOR
2 - 0
SWE
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 4
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 1
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
SCO
3 - 2
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |