Austria vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
AUT
0 - 2
YUG
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
NIR
2 - 1
AUT
38%
29%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AUT
0 - 3
DEN
49%
28%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
ROU
2 - 0
LTU
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
EST
0 - 1
LTU
69%
16%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +23 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
7 - 0
LTU
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
FIN
3 - 1
LTU
83%
10%
7%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
33%
22%
44%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |