Austria vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
AUT
4 - 3
HUN
54%
20%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
62%
17%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SUI
1 - 0
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ITA
5 - 2
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
SUI
4 - 4
ITA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ITA
4 - 0
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |