Austria vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1934 |
AUT
3 - 0
SUI
81%
12%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
AUT
2 - 2
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1934 |
GER
3 - 2
AUT
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
49%
21%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
77%
13%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ITA
4 - 2
HUN
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1934 |
ENG
3 - 2
ITA
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSK
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
49%
21%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |