Austria vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
SUI
1 - 8
AUT
30%
23%
48%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
HUN
2 - 2
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1931 |
AUT
5 - 0
GER
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1931 |
AUT
2 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BRD
0 - 6
AUT
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1932 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
58%
19%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1931 |
ITA
2 - 2
CSK
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1931 |
ITA
3 - 0
SCO
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |