Austria vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ISL
0 - 0
AUT
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
NOR
4 - 1
AUT
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
DDR
1 - 1
AUT
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1989 |
AUT
1 - 2
CSK
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 1
ITA
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ISL
0 - 0
AUT
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
SUN
1 - 1
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
62 | 94 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
DDR
2 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
TUR
1 - 1
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
DEN
1 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
2%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |