Austria vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
35%
25%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 2
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 1
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
GRC
4 - 1
AUT
34%
26%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
AUT
3 - 1
CYP
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
IRN
2 - 1
GEO
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2000 |
IRN
3 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
IRN
0 - 0
EGY
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
SYR
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2000 |
JOR
0 - 1
IRN
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |