Austria vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
AUT
1 - 3
GER
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 0
RUS
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
AUT
4 - 1
LUX
89%
9%
2%
|
89 | 37 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SVK
1 - 1
AUT
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
AUT
2 - 3
CZE
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 0
UKR
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
ENG
36%
25%
40%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 4
ENG
15%
22%
63%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 0
SUI
81%
13%
6%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
2 - 1
ENG
66%
19%
15%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |