Austria vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1908 |
AUT
4 - 0
HUN
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1907 |
HUN
4 - 1
AUT
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1907 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
62%
18%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1906 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1905 |
HUN
0 - 0
AUT
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1908 |
WAL
1 - 7
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
SCO
2 - 1
ENG
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |