Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUI
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
AUT
1 - 2
SUN
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
WAL
1 - 0
AUT
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
GRC
1 - 1
HUN
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BMU
1 - 1
HUN
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 42 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 1
HUN
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
75%
16%
8%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |