Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
AUT
3 - 3
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
YUG
2 - 5
AUT
52%
20%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 1
CSK
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
HUN
5 - 0
CSK
78%
12%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
BGR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |