Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1945 |
AUT
4 - 1
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1945 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1945 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
49%
20%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
HUN
7 - 2
ROU
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1945 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1945 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
HUN
2 - 7
SWE
66%
17%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1943 |
FIN
0 - 3
HUN
30%
20%
49%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |