Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 3
AUT
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
ITA
2 - 4
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
NED
0 - 1
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1933 |
SCO
2 - 2
AUT
39%
22%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 4
HUN
35%
22%
43%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |