Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 1
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1916 |
AUT
3 - 3
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1917 |
AUT
1 - 1
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1916 |
AUT
3 - 3
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |