Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1915 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1915 |
AUT
4 - 2
HUN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1915 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1915 |
AUT
4 - 2
HUN
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |