Austria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1915 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1915 |
AUT
4 - 2
HUN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1915 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1915 |
HUN
2 - 5
AUT
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1914 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1915 |
HUN
6 - 2
AUT
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1915 |
AUT
4 - 2
HUN
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1915 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1915 |
HUN
2 - 5
AUT
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1914 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |