Austria vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1990 |
AUT
1 - 1
ARG
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
AUT
3 - 0
HUN
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ESP
2 - 3
AUT
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
AUT
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
AUT
3 - 0
DDR
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
2 - 1
NED
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
NED
0 - 0
ITA
49%
28%
23%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1989 |
NED
0 - 1
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
NED
3 - 0
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 2
NED
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |