Austria vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
4 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1923 |
AUT
0 - 0
ITA
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1923 |
SUI
2 - 0
AUT
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1922 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1923 |
GER
1 - 2
FIN
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
5 - 4
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
3 - 0
FIN
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
10 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |