Austria vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1960 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUT
36%
23%
41%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
AUT
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
50%
21%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
ENG
4 - 2
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
PER
1 - 3
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |