Austria vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1925 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1925 |
FIN
1 - 2
AUT
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1925 |
SWE
2 - 4
AUT
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1925 |
CSK
3 - 1
AUT
57%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1925 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 3
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1925 |
POR
0 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1924 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUT
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |