Austria vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1955 |
SUI
2 - 3
AUT
44%
21%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
CSK
3 - 2
AUT
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 1
AUT
84%
10%
7%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
YUG
2 - 2
SCO
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1955 |
SCO
3 - 0
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
ENG
7 - 2
SCO
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
HUN
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 2
NIR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |