Austria vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
AUT
4 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1930 |
AUT
0 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
CSK
3 - 3
HUN
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 2
CSK
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
HUN
1 - 1
CSK
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 3
CSK
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |