Austria vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
5 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 3
AUT
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
ITA
2 - 4
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
NED
0 - 1
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1933 |
SCO
2 - 2
AUT
39%
22%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
YUG
2 - 3
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 4
HUN
35%
22%
43%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1934 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
57%
19%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |