Austria vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1924 |
AUT
4 - 1
ROU
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1924 |
HUN
2 - 2
AUT
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1924 |
YUG
1 - 4
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1924 |
ITA
0 - 4
AUT
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
GER
4 - 3
AUT
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |