Austria vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1955 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUT
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 1
YUG
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
AUT
1 - 4
SCO
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
SUI
1 - 1
BRA
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
35%
22%
43%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1956 |
BRA
7 - 1
CRC
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
1 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |