Austria vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
AUT
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 2
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
DEN
3 - 3
AUT
50%
20%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
ITA
41%
22%
37%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |