Austria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 0
AUT
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 2
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NED
3 - 1
AUT
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
AUT
1 - 2
GRC
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 4
AUT
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
URU
70%
18%
12%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GER
4 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
3%
|
98 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
25%
24%
50%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | +1 |