Austria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
23.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
33%
20%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
AUT
7 - 0
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
YUG
1 - 1
AUT
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
AUT
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
IRL
3 - 0
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
SUI
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1956 |
SWE
2 - 2
GER
65%
17%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |