Austria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
DEN
3 - 3
AUT
50%
20%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
AUT
4 - 0
SCO
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
SCO
0 - 1
AUT
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 1
DEN
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
HUN
4 - 3
AUT
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SVK
2 - 5
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |