Austria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1931 |
AUT
2 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BRD
0 - 6
AUT
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1931 |
AUT
5 - 0
SCO
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
AUT
0 - 0
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
AUT
2 - 1
CSK
57%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 0
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |