Austria vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
NED
5 - 1
AUT
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 2
NED
75%
14%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
68%
18%
15%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
TUN
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
6 - 0
MEX
83%
11%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
75%
14%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |