Australia vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.5%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2004 |
AUS
0 - 1
TUR
46%
28%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 3
TUR
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
RSA
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 1
AUS
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
FIJ
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 1
TAH
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
TON
88%
10%
3%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |