Australia vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
8 - 0
FIJ
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 40 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VAN
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 37 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
URU
3 - 0
AUS
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
URU
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
SOL
2 - 3
TAH
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
4 - 0
TAH
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
COK
0 - 6
TAH
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |