Australia vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
16 - 0
COK
82%
14%
5%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
3 - 1
FIJ
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
7 - 0
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 3
JPN
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
1 - 0
KOR
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
TAH
5 - 1
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
1 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
0 - 2
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 86 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
4 - 1
TAH
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |