OFC Nations Cup Final
Global 11-0
Australia vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TAH
0 - 6
AUS
24%
29%
47%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
KSA
0 - 0
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
KEN
0 - 4
AUS
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
2 - 0
AUS
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
0 - 2
AUS
35%
32%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TAH
0 - 6
AUS
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
TAH
2 - 1
SOL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
3 - 0
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |