Australia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 0
KOR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 2
AUS
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 0
KOR
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
IRN
2 - 0
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
IDN
2 - 3
URU
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
IDN
2 - 1
URU
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1974 |
JAM
0 - 3
URU
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 0
URU
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |