Australia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 4
ARG
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
GER
4 - 3
AUS
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 0
IDN
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 1
IRQ
56%
24%
19%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TUN
0 - 3
GER
6%
15%
79%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 1
TUN
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 3
TUN
9%
22%
69%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
TUN
4 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |