Australia vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1991 |
KOR
0 - 0
AUS
54%
28%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
ENG
24%
29%
48%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1991 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 2
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
SUI
3 - 1
SWE
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
SWE
4 - 3
YUG
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
POL
2 - 0
SWE
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1991 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
28%
28%
44%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |