Australia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1994 |
AUS
0 - 1
FRA
21%
28%
51%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
39%
30%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 0
AUS
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
AUS
1 - 1
ARG
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1994 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZAM
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
RSA
1 - 0
ZIM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
MEX
4 - 0
RSA
89%
9%
3%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
CGO
0 - 1
RSA
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |