WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 3-2
Australia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 2
AUS
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 0
KOR
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
IRN
2 - 0
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
AUS
3 - 0
IRN
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 2
AUS
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 0
KOR
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 0
MAS
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
0 - 1
MMR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
3 - 1
IDN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |