WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 3-2
Australia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
IRN
2 - 0
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
AUS
3 - 0
IRN
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 0
MAS
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
0 - 1
MMR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
3 - 1
IDN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
KOR
6 - 0
KHM
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |