Australia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
CZE
3 - 1
AUS
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 3
AUS
49%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 1
BGR
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 0
SVK
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUS
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
HUN
51%
25%
25%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |