Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUS
0 - 1
JPN
35%
26%
40%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
UZB
0 - 6
AUS
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
66%
21%
14%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 0
BHR
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
PAR
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
HND
24%
26%
51%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
NZL
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |