Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
AUS
4 - 1
TAH
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
16 - 0
COK
82%
14%
5%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
3 - 1
FIJ
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
7 - 0
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 3
JPN
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
FIJ
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
8 - 1
VAN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
NZL
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHI
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |